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This newsletter, The Earnings Edge, is your new go-to for fast, sharp insights on who’s crushing it this earnings season—and who’s flopping. But if this isn’t your thing, no worries. Just click the unsubscribe link at the bottom and you’ll be removed from this new series (you’ll still get your regular updates from us).

Earnings reports are in full swing, and this is where we separate the hype from reality. Are the companies you’re watching delivering on their promises, or just getting by? In today’s newsletter, we’ve rounded up the biggest earnings surprises of the day. Whether you’re eyeing tech, healthcare, or consumer staples, it’s critical to pay attention to these numbers—they could set the tone for market trends in the coming months. And as always, don’t forget about the companies reporting before the opening bell that could shake up today’s trading session. Get ready, because today’s market movers might just be tomorrow’s game changers.

Major Earnings Before Opening Bell

Here are some key companies releasing earnings before the market opens on Friday.

AES Corp (AES)
  • EPS Estimate: $0.46, representing a 21.05% increase from last year.

  • Revenue Forecast: $3.1B vs $2.94B reported a year ago.

  • Earnings Reaction History: In its last 6 reports, 5 of the next-day sessions were lower, including a -10.79% drop in October 2024. Regardless of direction, the stock averaged a post-earnings swing of -2.32%.

DuPont de Nemours Inc (DD)
  • EPS Estimate: $0.95, up 20.25% compared to last year.

  • Revenue Forecast: $3.04B, up from $2.93B a year earlier.

  • Earnings Reaction History: In the last 6 reports, DD stock experienced a balanced mix of gains and losses the next day, with three sessions higher and three lower. On average, earnings swings were around 0.07%.

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
  • EPS Estimate: $1.73, showing a -16.02% year-over-year decrease.

  • Revenue Forecast: $86.09B, up compared to last year’s $83.08B.

  • Earnings Reaction History: Of the past 6 earnings releases, XOM jumped in 4 of them, with a 3.18% surge in November 2024. Post-earnings volatility averaged 0.94%.

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Upcoming Earnings Reports

Below is a list of notable companies reporting earnings before the opening bell today.

Ticker

EPS

Revenue

ST Score

MITT

$0.21

$19.11M

61.0

TROW

$2.13

$1.78B

59.0

ABR

$0.29

$79.89M

58.0

MGA

$0.86

$9.73B

55.0

SHEL

$1.61

$79.13B

51.0

Thursday's Top Beats

Here are the top earnings beats from recent reports:

AGCO Corp (AGCO)
  • EPS: $0.41, beating estimates by 1051.69%.

  • Revenue: $2.05B, failing expectations by -0.16%.

  • Market Reaction: AGCO shares rose by 10.10% following the earnings report.

LXP Industrial Trust (LXP)
  • EPS: $0.11, exceeding expectations by 655.56%.

  • Revenue: $99.83M, surpassing estimates by 23.89%.

  • Market Reaction: LXP stock price increased by 1.39% after the announcement.

Arvinas Inc (ARVN)
  • EPS: $1.14, reflecting a positive earnings surprise of 218.16%.

  • Revenue: $188.80M, beating estimates by 351.18%.

  • Market Reaction: ARVN stock price dropped by -24.84% following the report.

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Thursday's Top Miss

While some companies exceeded expectations, others fell short. Here’s a look at Thursday’s top earnings miss:

Medical Properties Trust Inc (MPW)
  • EPS: -$0.20, missing estimates by -1969.16%.

  • Revenue: $223.80M, falling short of expectations by -2.69%.

  • Market Reaction: MPW stock price dropped by -6.88% post earnings release.

Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW)
  • EPS: -$0.04, underperforming estimates by -327.27%.

  • Revenue: $1.03B, coming in 3.23% below analyst projections.

  • Market Reaction: PNW shares dipped -1.86% following the earnings release.

Valaris Ltd (VAL)
  • EPS: -$0.53, missing analyst estimates by -143.16%.

  • Revenue: $620.70M, beat the target by 5.69%.

  • Market Reaction: Post earnings, VAL stock rose 10.03%.

Stay Ahead of the Curve!

Earnings season is always filled with surprises, but the real winners are those who can act swiftly on the latest data. Use these insights to adjust your strategies, and remember—each report is a stepping stone towards smarter investing. Keep your eyes on the prize, and we’ll be back with more market-moving updates!

Stocks Telegraph Team

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